US Freedom Capital Blog

Investment Outlook: December 2018

Posted by David Gunderson on Dec 6, 2018 12:06:51 PM

US Freedom Capital
Investment Outlook
December 2018

From: David Gunderson, Chief Investment Officer

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Topics: Dallas, Texas, Investment, USD, real estate, Hedge, volatility

Dallas–Fort Worth economy expands at a torrid pace, 55000 new jobs added this year!

Posted by USFC Team on Jun 26, 2018 6:17:28 AM

The Dallas–Fort Worth economy continued to expand at a torrid pace. The May jobs report showed the metro area growing at a 3.7 percent annualized rate in the first five months of the year, adding a total of 55,500 net new jobs. The unemployment rate remained near record lows, and the Dallas and Fort Worth business-cycle indexes posted above-trend growth. Home-price appreciation moderated in Dallas in the first quarter but stayed strong in Fort Worth. Housing affordability improved slightly in the first quarter but was lower in Dallas relative to other major Texas metros as well as the U.S.

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Topics: Dallas, Texas, economy, jobs, Employment, housing, real estate

Upbeat real estate execs in D-FW are more bullish on 2018

Posted by USFC Team on Apr 24, 2018 3:31:27 AM

Commercial real estate execs are traditionally an upbeat bunch.

The latest read on the industry's mood forecasts another strong year in 2018 -- even better than previously expected six months ago.

Commercial real estate execs credit the federal tax cuts, which benefit many companies and high net worth investors with helping to boost their attitudes about the rest of this year.

The Urban Land Institute surveyed four dozen of the commercial property sector's top economists and analysts for its semi annual economic forecast. 

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Topics: real estate, Dallas, Texas

D-FW dodges overbuilding thanks to steady flow of new jobs

Posted by USFC Team on Apr 11, 2018 5:01:18 AM

The current real estate cycle is now well past middle age.

Analysts are pondering the life expectancy for North Texas' building boom.

By now in most building cycles, it's typically time for overbuilding. So far there's no sign of a glut building in Dallas-Fort Worth's development sector.

"With D-FW topping charts across U.S. construction totals, some question if, or when, this new supply will outstrip demand," CBRE research director Robert Kramp says in a new report. "The market is different now than past expansion cycles for several key reasons and it impacts all major asset types across D-FW - mainly due to job growth and population gains."

With almost 400 people a day moving to North Texas to fill new jobs, there's so far room in the local real estate market for more building, Kramp concludes.

He points out that D-FW has added more than 422,000 jobs since 2013, with more than 40,000 increased employment in the local office sector.

About 40 percent of the office buildings under construction in North Texas are already spoken for by tenants. And 50 percent of the warehouses being built are already leased.

"By the close of 2017, 22 new office projects were in the pipeline totaling 4.4 million square feet, with the majority being speculative," Kramp found. "D-FW industrial developers delivered 26.8 million square feet of industrial space in 2017 -- a market record; 20.6 million square feet was absorbed immediately.

"Developers delivered 102.3 millions square feet since 2009, more than the total existing Austin and San Antonio industrial market inventories combined."

While North Texas employment growth is forecast to slow to below 100,000 jobs this year, the economy is still expected to be one of the strongest in the nation. It should be enough to support the current pace of building.

"Since 2010, D-FW has seen 16.7 million square feet of new office space completed," Kramp said. "Meanwhile, 96.7 million square feet of industrial space was added to the Metroplex inventory and 115,499 multifamily units constructed.

"No wonder D-FW developers have been busy."


By Steve Brown, Real Estate Editor. Original article published on April 2, 2018 and a link to it can be found here.

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Topics: real estate, Employment, jobs, EB-5

Study shows Dallas' rental market has balanced supply, demand

Posted by USFC Team on Apr 11, 2018 12:03:46 AM

Rent growth over the past year show supply and demand are relatively aligned in Dallas’ rental market.

That’s according to a report by Apartment List, which showed year-over-year rent growth in the city was 1.8 percent. Some increase in rental prices is healthy and a matter of inflation, according to Chris Salviati, a housing economist with Apartment List.

Dallas’ rent growth over the past 12 months and flat growth in the past month show builders are keeping up with more demand for rental units in the city, maintaining a healthy and vibrant rental market.

“Dallas has a strong economy with solid job growth driving demand, but the area has also been building a good amount of new housing to keep up with that demand,” Salviati added. “For those reasons, I expect that rents in Dallas will continue to increase, but a relatively modest pace.”

Despite any anticipated increases, the average rent in Dallas for a two-bedroom apartment is $1,100, below the national average of $1,170. And rents are growing at a slower rate than the country’s average of 2 percent and Texas’ average of 2.1 percent year over year.

“Dallas has been and continues to be relatively affordable compared to most other major cities in the country,” Salviati said. “Despite experiencing increasing rents, growth over the past year has actually been slower than the national average.”

One factor that could change Dallas’ supply-and-demand ratio is an influx of new residents from a major corporate relocation, like Amazon’s HQ2. Landing the campus would bring roughly 50,000 jobs to the region.

But even that would raise rents only slightly, between 0.2 percent and 0.4 percent annually, Apartment List estimates.

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Topics: real estate, Dallas, Texas

Salary you need to afford the average home in your state (2018)

Posted by USFC Team on Apr 10, 2018 8:00:00 AM

The salary you need to afford the average home in your state (Based on a 30-year mortgage with a 10% down payment).

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Topics: USA, FD+, EB-5, Immigration, real estate

DBJ: Dallas-Fort Worth property values up 11% to $456.9B — or about Poland's GDP

Posted by USFC Team on Jan 4, 2017 7:48:00 AM

Dallas-Fort Worth — one of the most powerful housing metros in the United States — has seen a gain in housing values of 11.1 percent or $45.7 billion through the end of 2016, with all homes in the region totaling $456.9 billion.

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Topics: Dallas, real estate, economy

North Texas real estate market forcing retailers, restaurants to squeeze into smaller spaces

Posted by USFC Team on Aug 15, 2016 5:25:32 PM

Lower supply and higher prices are causing retailers and restaurants to get creative as they squeeze into North Texas real estate.

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Topics: Texas, economy, real estate

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